AVIATION WEATHER INFORMATION SERVICE
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SW MIDLANDS

This forecast is updated at 7am, 1pm and 7pm

Issued by Weather Consultancy Services on:
Saturday 16 November 2019 22:30 hrs
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UK & Ireland Flying Summary for Saturday
A slack pressure gradient over the UK and Ireland on Sunday with higher pressure to the west, lower pressure to the southeast. At midday an occluded front extends from northeast of Scotland across northern England into the Irish then crosses the Celtic Sea to terminate just north of Spain. A further occluded front extends from the Wash across the North Sea to Denmark's Jutland Peninsula. A cold front lies just north of this. To the northwest of Scotland lies a further occluded front and a trough.


Forecast for flying in southern England on Saturday
Forecast will appear here.


Forecast from GFS model for flying in the SW Midlands:
Data based on GFS model updated: Sat 16 November 2019 22:30
Time SFC Wind Sig wx * Visibility Temp QNH % low cloud Low cld base/top 0C level RH@0C FL030 Wind Temp FL050 Wind Temp FL100 Wind Temp
6pm Saturday40/3g3ktLight rain24.1km13C1011mb10%3400/4400ft3300ft90%30/2kt2C60/7kt3C130/12kt-4C
9pm Saturday30/6g5kt*24.1km10C1011mb87%4200/5400ft3600ft80%330/2kt3C60/9kt3C140/12kt-3C
00:01am Sunday40/7g8ktLight rain24.1km8C1012mb93%4500/5600ft3700ft80%300/3kt4C60/9kt3C110/13kt-4C
3am Sunday30/7g2kt*24.1km7C1011mb29%4900/5600ft3700ft80%290/5kt3C50/11kt4C140/14kt-3C
6am Sunday20/6g2ktModerate rain24.1km6C1011mb27%3900/4700ft3600ft90%330/2kt3C60/9kt4C130/11kt-4C
9am Sunday20/8g1kt*24.1km9C1012mb70%4700/6100ft3700ft80%20/2kt3C60/9kt5C120/13kt-3C
Midday Sunday20/8g3ktLight rain24.1km12C1011mb85%4900/6200ft3600ft80%30/3kt3C70/10kt5C110/13kt-2C
6pm Sunday20/8g5ktDry24.1km13C1010mb85%4200/7400ft3700ft90%40/7kt3C40/10kt7C110/9kt-1C
00:01am Monday10/6g15ktDry24.1km7C1011mb44%4500/6200ft4000ft100%40/12kt3C60/9kt7C90/12kt-2C
[* significant weather refers to weather in the past 6-hours, and is available in 6-hour steps only. All predictions are model estimated. Gusts are model predicted over open ground. Heights are above sea level.]


Planning outlook:
Tuesday low pressure and a cold front will move south across England and Wales with high pressure north west of Scotland. A colder day as rain and snow spreads south. Mainly dry in the channel with sunny spells. Visibilities will be good in the channel but moderate to poor elsewhere in rain and snow.
Wednesday a cell of high pressure is centered west of Ireland and will be ridging east. A cold, windy day with sunny spells and scattered showers of rain and snow. Visibilities will be good but moderate in rain showers, poor in snow showers.
Thursday sees high pressure centred south of Ireland and this will give much of the country a dry, settled, day with sunny spells. Visibilities will be good.
Friday a cold front spreads rain down across Scotland, the Irish Sea and northern England. Fair and dry in the south and in the channel with varying cloud and sunny spells. Visibilities will be good in the south and in the channel, but falling to moderate or locally poor as the rain sets in across the north.
Saturday high pressure to the west of Britain is ridging into Scotland with a front into the far north west. Most areas will be fair and dry with sunny spells today after some patchy mist clears. Visibilities will be good but moderate at first.
Sunday a front moves south east across Britain. Outbreaks of rain will clear western areas in the afternoon. Visibilities will be moderate improving to good as the front clears.



Synoptic charts based on data from 0001 GMT, Friday 15 November 2019 (Updated daily by 9am)
Tomorrow (Day 2)

Day after tomorrow (Day 3)

This forecast is for planning purposes only. You must check the latest forecasts from official sources before flying. Forns 214/215, METARs and TAFs should be obtained as a minimum for flight.
Forecast is copyright Weather Consultancy Services.