AVIATION WEATHER INFORMATION SERVICE
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SW MIDLANDS

This forecast is updated at 7am, 1pm and 7pm

Issued by Weather Consultancy Services on:
Sunday 10 December 2023 03:00 hrs
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UK & Ireland Flying Summary for Sunday
During Saturday a band of heavy rain will cross the country from the southwest, clearing the south by mid-afternoon. However it will remain wet elsewhere for the rest of the day. Visibility will be generally moderate but poor in rain. Winds starting South F5-F6, but soon turning West F6-F7 and locally F7-F8 around Ireland, Irish Sea, South-southewest English coasts. Seas moderate in the morning, but becoming rough or very rough in places once the wind turns West.

Forecast for flying in southern England on Sunday
Forecast will appear here.

Forecast from GFS model for flying in the SW Midlands:
Data based on GFS model updated: Sun 10 December 2023 03:00

Time	SFC Wind	Sig wx *	Visibility	Temp	QNH	% low cloud	Low cld base/top	0C level	RH@0C	FL030 Wind	Temp	FL050 Wind	Temp	FL100 Wind	Temp
6am Sunday	40/3g22kt	Light rain	24.1km	13C	1011mb	20%	1900/2800ft	6400ft	40%	260/21kt	5C	60/7kt	3C	130/12kt	-4C
9am Sunday	30/6g29kt	*	24.1km	10C	1011mb	100%	8500/10000ft	5200ft	70%	210/20kt	5C	60/9kt	3C	140/12kt	-3C
Midday Sunday	40/7g35kt	Light rain	24.1km	8C	1012mb	99.2%	4300/9800ft	6200ft	100%	230/28kt	8C	60/9kt	3C	110/13kt	-4C
3pm Sunday	30/7g31kt	*	24.1km	7C	1011mb	9.3%	400/6300ft	6300ft	30%	260/26kt	6C	50/11kt	4C	140/14kt	-3C
6pm Sunday	20/6g30kt	Moderate rain	24.1km	6C	1011mb	40.5%	1200/4800ft	5000ft	70%	250/25kt	6C	60/9kt	4C	130/11kt	-4C
9pm Sunday	20/8g35kt	*	24.1km	9C	1012mb	63.6%	2300/3600ft	4800ft	80%	240/28kt	5C	60/9kt	5C	120/13kt	-3C
00:01am Monday	20/8g38kt	Light rain	24.1km	12C	1011mb	95%	2400/5900ft	4700ft	90%	260/34kt	5C	70/10kt	5C	110/13kt	-2C
6am Monday	20/8g31kt	Dry	24.1km	13C	1010mb	7.4%	2800/5000ft	4500ft	100%	280/27kt	5C	40/10kt	7C	110/9kt	-1C
Midday Monday	10/6g17kt	Dry	24.1km	7C	1011mb	18.6%	2500/3400ft	5400ft	50%	280/15kt	4C	60/9kt	7C	90/12kt	-2C

[* significant weather refers to weather in the past 6-hours, and is available in 6-hour steps only. All predictions are model estimated. Gusts are model predicted over open ground. Heights are above sea level.]

Planning outlook:
Tuesday low pressure and a cold front will move south across England and Wales with high pressure north west of Scotland. A colder day as rain and snow spreads south. Mainly dry in the channel with sunny spells. Visibilities will be good in the channel but moderate to poor elsewhere in rain and snow.
Wednesday a cell of high pressure is centered west of Ireland and will be ridging east. A cold, windy day with sunny spells and scattered showers of rain and snow. Visibilities will be good but moderate in rain showers, poor in snow showers.
Thursday sees high pressure centred south of Ireland and this will give much of the country a dry, settled, day with sunny spells. Visibilities will be good.
Friday a cold front spreads rain down across Scotland, the Irish Sea and northern England. Fair and dry in the south and in the channel with varying cloud and sunny spells. Visibilities will be good in the south and in the channel, but falling to moderate or locally poor as the rain sets in across the north.
Saturday high pressure to the west of Britain is ridging into Scotland with a front into the far north west. Most areas will be fair and dry with sunny spells today after some patchy mist clears. Visibilities will be good but moderate at first.
Sunday a front moves south east across Britain. Outbreaks of rain will clear western areas in the afternoon. Visibilities will be moderate improving to good as the front clears.

Synoptic charts based on data from 0001 GMT, Sunday 10 December 2023 (Updated daily by 9am)

Tomorrow (Day 2)

Day after tomorrow (Day 3)

This forecast is for planning purposes only. You must check the latest forecasts from official sources before flying. Forns 214/215, METARs and TAFs should be obtained as a minimum for flight.
Forecast is copyright Weather Consultancy Services.