AVIATION WEATHER INFORMATION SERVICE
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SW MIDLANDS

This forecast is updated at 7am, 1pm and 7pm

Issued by Weather Consultancy Services on:
Thursday 22 May 2025 03:00 hrs
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UK & Ireland Flying Summary for Thursday
Slack pressure over the British Isles on Thursday, though low pressure in the North Sea drives a brisk northerly. A weakening cold front slowly moves southwest across England and Wales.

Forecast for flying in southern England on Thursday
Forecast will appear here.

Forecast from GFS model for flying in the SW Midlands:
Data based on GFS model updated: Thu 22 May 2025 03:00

Time	SFC Wind	Sig wx *	Visibility	Temp	QNH	% low cloud	Low cld base/top	0C level	RH@0C	FL030 Wind	Temp	FL050 Wind	Temp	FL100 Wind	Temp
6am Thursday	40/3g2kt	Light rain	24.1km	13C	1011mb	0%	56100/56100ft	7100ft	50%	340/6kt	9C	60/7kt	3C	130/12kt	-4C
9am Thursday	30/6g4kt	*	24.1km	10C	1011mb	8.5%	4700/6100ft	7500ft	30%	330/3kt	7C	60/9kt	3C	140/12kt	-3C
Midday Thursday	40/7g6kt	Light rain	24.1km	8C	1012mb	100%	3400/5400ft	6300ft	90%	350/3kt	8C	60/9kt	3C	110/13kt	-4C
3pm Thursday	30/7g9kt	*	24.1km	7C	1011mb	35.9%	4600/6400ft	6200ft	90%	40/5kt	7C	50/11kt	4C	140/14kt	-3C
6pm Thursday	20/6g10kt	Moderate rain	24.1km	6C	1011mb	100%	4700/6400ft	6500ft	100%	50/6kt	7C	60/9kt	4C	130/11kt	-4C
9pm Thursday	20/8g9kt	*	24.1km	9C	1012mb	87.1%	2700/8100ft	6100ft	90%	40/4kt	6C	60/9kt	5C	120/13kt	-3C
00:01am Friday	20/8g3kt	Light rain	24.1km	12C	1011mb	2%	3400/8100ft	5600ft	80%	70/3kt	6C	70/10kt	5C	110/13kt	-2C
6am Friday	20/8g3kt	Dry	24.1km	13C	1010mb	32.7%	5100/6100ft	5100ft	100%	290/5kt	6C	40/10kt	7C	110/9kt	-1C
Midday Friday	10/6g10kt	Dry	24.1km	7C	1011mb	24.9%	3700/5000ft	6100ft	90%	290/7kt	9C	60/9kt	7C	90/12kt	-2C

[* significant weather refers to weather in the past 6-hours, and is available in 6-hour steps only. All predictions are model estimated. Gusts are model predicted over open ground. Heights are above sea level.]

Planning outlook:
Tuesday low pressure and a cold front will move south across England and Wales with high pressure north west of Scotland. A colder day as rain and snow spreads south. Mainly dry in the channel with sunny spells. Visibilities will be good in the channel but moderate to poor elsewhere in rain and snow.
Wednesday a cell of high pressure is centered west of Ireland and will be ridging east. A cold, windy day with sunny spells and scattered showers of rain and snow. Visibilities will be good but moderate in rain showers, poor in snow showers.
Thursday sees high pressure centred south of Ireland and this will give much of the country a dry, settled, day with sunny spells. Visibilities will be good.
Friday a cold front spreads rain down across Scotland, the Irish Sea and northern England. Fair and dry in the south and in the channel with varying cloud and sunny spells. Visibilities will be good in the south and in the channel, but falling to moderate or locally poor as the rain sets in across the north.
Saturday high pressure to the west of Britain is ridging into Scotland with a front into the far north west. Most areas will be fair and dry with sunny spells today after some patchy mist clears. Visibilities will be good but moderate at first.
Sunday a front moves south east across Britain. Outbreaks of rain will clear western areas in the afternoon. Visibilities will be moderate improving to good as the front clears.

Synoptic charts based on data from 0001 GMT, Thursday 22 May 2025 (Updated daily by 9am)

Tomorrow (Day 2)

Day after tomorrow (Day 3)

This forecast is for planning purposes only. You must check the latest forecasts from official sources before flying. Forns 214/215, METARs and TAFs should be obtained as a minimum for flight.
Forecast is copyright Weather Consultancy Services.