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>> Weatherweb Reporters << UK weather research Trial predictions for August By Garry Nicholson in Darley Dale, Derbys 15:00hrs 26/07/2012 Temperature: 23C Weather: Sun & Clouds I am currently doing some ongoing research looking into the UK weather, studying past weather events and seasonal trends, then analysing various patterns looking for influencing factors upon our weather. There are some theories and ideas I am working on, with the intention of using these to highlight specific ‘watch periods’ for an increased likelihood of severe weather, or ‘interesting weather’. So, as an initial trial, here are some of my suggested ideas for August. These are purely my own ideas and predictions testing out some theories. I will watch with interest to see how the weather story develops over the coming weeks, and will report back on the outcomes. Whatever the resulting weather, it will aid my research, so watch this space! 1st-8th August - A mixed bag, some decent days, but unlikely to fully settle down. Generally westerly airflow with unsettled Atlantic air in place, bringing some warm days and sunny spells but with showers or longer periods of rain in the forecast. 8th-18th August - Potentially very unsettled with violent thunderstorms The whole period could threaten to be unsettled, but with these specific watch periods: 8th-11th - The first period would be more likely to see low pressure centred over the UK, so problems could come from persistently heavy rainfall and locally heavy thunderstorms. Stronger winds during this period too more likely. 15th-18th - The second of these periods would threaten to bring very humid and unstable air to southern Britain, so whilst temperatures may rise into the mid-high 20s, the thundery downpours triggered would be significant, with southern and south-western Britain seeming most vulnerable. 18th-25th August - Chance for an improvement, but for how long? Greater chance for warm or hot weather in mid-late August, with the development of a southerly airflow, but all this may achieve is 3 fine days then (another) thunderstorm, as low pressure in the Atlantic would seem to be never too far away. >> Comments on this story << >> Add your comments below << Your name Email (not shown in posting): Location: Your comment): Security question: What colour is the sky? (the answer is blue but remove the 's)	>> Latest comments on this musing << [Scroll down to add your comment and see what others say] >> More from Weatherweb Reporters << Moon research continues By Garry Nicholson in Darley Dale, Derbys 17:45 13/06/2013 Upcoming period of interest Tropical Storm Andrea By Garry Nicholson in Edgbaston,Birmingham 15:30 06/06/2013 First Atlantic storm of Hurricane season Review of May 2013 By Garry Nicholson in Darley Dale, Derbys 18:30 03/06/2013 A mixed month – often cool with glimmers of early summer [click here for a full list of Weatherweb Reporters stories] >> Simon's Weather Musings << Warmists change of tactics? By Simon Keeling in Wombourne, Staffs 10:00 19/06/2013 'Out' those who question? Severe, Extreme or Inconvenient? By Simon Keeling in Wombourne, Staffs 10:00 18/06/2013 Let's have a meeting! [click here for a full list of Simon's weather musings] >> Captain Bob's Dispatches << Month Ahead By Captain Bob in Kingswinford 15:30 15/06/2013 Some fine spells, but rain too Seasonal Outlook By Captain Bob in Kingswinford 11:00 19/05/2013 July looks best [click here for a full list of Simon's weather musings] >> Around the webcams << Latest webcam pics (add yours) >> Learning channel << Summer 2013 - Latest guidance >> Forecast channel videos << Wednesday's Look Ahead video 19/6/13 Tuesday's Look Ahead 18/6/13 Monday's Look Ahead forecast 17/6/13 Sunday's Look Ahead video 16/6/13 Saturday's Look Ahead video 15/6/13