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>> Simon's Weather Musings << What do past years tell us? Highlights from the analogues By Simon Keeling in Wombourne 18:00hrs  14/2/2012 Temperature: 6.9C    Weather: Spots of rain I'm an old romantic you know...and whilst I await a Valentine's dinner to remember, I've been taking a look back to see how often what followed in the next 4-weeks would warm cupids heart, or freeze his harp off! Using the similar years highlighted by the GFS Ensemble model (below) I've taken a look at the top 7-years that are forecast to be closest to this year in 8-days time. The reason for 7 is nothing more than a shortage of time to look at the rest (I do have some feelings you know!). And the results are interesting, and they do back up the current predictions. The first two week period following the date (so this would be around 22nd February to 6th March, of 7-days 5 years saw average or warm temperatures and 6 had average to dry rainfall conditions. The next two week period (so this year from 7th March to 21st March) saw 4 average to warm years and 3 cold with 5 average to dry and 2 wet. Certainly interesting to see this. Models are heading into near average temperatures and drier than normal weather into early March. >> Comments on this story << >> Add your comments below << Your name Email (not shown in posting): Location: Your comment): Security question: What colour is the sky? (the answer is b*l*u*e but remove the *'s)	>> Latest comments on this musing << [Scroll down to add your comment and see what others say] >> More of Simon's Weather Musings << Unseasonal Europe last week - warm east By Simon Keeling in Wombourne, Staffs 09:00 20/05/13 Not so good in the north west Texas tornadoes - six feared dead By Simon Keeling in Wombourne, Staffs 16:45 16/05/2013 Granbury tornado video Dambusters at 70 - Rolling updates By Simon Keeling in Wombourne, Staffs 18:00 16/05/2013 A tribute the Scampton meteorlogists [click here for a full list of Simon's Musings] >> Captain Bob's Dispatches << Seasonal Outlook By Captain Bob in Kingswinford 11:00 19/05/2013 July looks best Month Ahead By Captain Bob in Kingswinford 10:00 19/05/2013 Weather machine games Seasonal Outlook By Captain Bob in Kingswinford 18:00 28/04/2013 Will summer 2013 be over by late July? [click here for a full list of Captain Bob's Dispatches] >> Around the webcams << Latest webcam pics (add yours) >> Learning channel << Summer 2013 - Latest guidance >> Forecast channel videos << Friday's Look Ahead - Early next week looking wet, improving Thursday's Look Ahead - Very unsettled next week Wednesday's Look Ahead Tuesday's Look Ahead Monday's Look Ahead - Still confusion reigns!