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>> Simon's Weather Musings <<
Any better weather is short lived
We are trying to spot the drier windows
By Simon Keeling in Wombourne, Staffs 12:20hrs 17/6/12
Temperature: 14.7C Weather: Recent shower
Okayk, so I am clutching at straws and desperately trying to spot the windows when the weather might improve.
The farmers amongst you are telling me of how water logged the fields are not, and others that hay has bolted to seed rapidly. So, some real problems for agriculture that I am only too well aware of. I'm trying my best to spot the improvements for you, even if they only last a few hours!
There is a window showing in the CFS run. Hints that the 4th week from 8th July sees heights rise across the UK and Ireland, perhaps initiating a spell of several days of drier weather.
However, this mornings latest rainfall forecast from the CFS contradicts its opinions and brings conditions back to being unsettled, and so we really are struggling to spot the window here.
I have also just done a quick piece of research into the closest years which match where the atmosphere is predicted to be in 11-days time. More on this later, but for now if I tell you that the closest five year matches resulted in everyone of the the following 4-weeks receiving normal or above normal rainfall, then you can see that the evidence for no major improvement in the month ahead simply builds!
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>> Captain Bob's Dispatches <<
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Friday's Look Ahead - Early next week looking wet, improving
Thursday's Look Ahead - Very unsettled next week
Wednesday's Look Ahead
Tuesday's Look Ahead
Monday's Look Ahead - Still confusion reigns!