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>> Simon's Weather Musings <<

Midlands & Wales most at risk of snow
Probably slushy wet stuff at low levels

By Simon Keeling in Wombourne, Staffs 17:00hrs  15/12/2011
Temperature: 3.9C    Weather: Cold


Low pressure passing eastwards through the English Channel through tonight, taking some heavy periods of rain with it.

The focus is probably through the Midlands and Wales as cold air gets entrained into the system at upper levels. The precipitation will be heavy enough to cause temperatures to fall noticeably and this mean that the snow falling from the cloud stays as snow or sleet.

Wales and the southern Midlands are probably most at risk from snow. On hills there could be 5cm but slushy snow can't be ruled out at lower levels.

The chart below is the NAE rainfall forecast between midnight and 6am in the morning, and you can see that the model goes for around 7-10mm of rain in these areas.

The rainfall model at this distance is usually pretty reliable and so figures will be within this area.We say that 1mm of rain = 1cm of snow, but you have to remember that some will be falling as rain, and so if you take around 1/3 of this you end up nearer a more realistic figure.




>> More of Simon's Weather Musings <<

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[click here for a full list of Simon's Musings]




>> Garry's Notebook <<

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By Garry Nicholson in Darley Dale, Derbys 19:00 19/04/2014
USA quick round up

Remains of Cyclone Ita hit New Zealand
By Garry Nicholson in Darley Dale, Derbys 17:45 18/04/2014
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By Garry Nicholson in Darley Dale, Derbys 17:00 13/04/2014
But thunderstorms threaten plains

[click here for a full list of Garry's Notebook's]




>> Captain Bob's Dispatches <<

Month Ahead
By Captain Bob in Kingswinford 18:00 27/12/2013
Colder with some snow in January

Month Ahead
By Captain Bob in Kingswinford 09:10 04/12/2013
Christmas snow? I don't think so!

Month Ahead
By Captain Bob in Kingswinford 15:00 15/11/2013
Colder weather ahead

[click here for a full list of Captain Bob's Dispatches]




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>> Forecast channel videos <<
Friday's Look Ahead - Becoming unsettled
Thursday's Look Ahead - Easter and beyond
Wednesdays Look Ahead 16/4/14
Tuesdays Look Ahead
Look Ahead - Cool & Unsettled Europe (updated Sunday)