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>> Simon's Weather Musings << Midlands & Wales most at risk of snow Probably slushy wet stuff at low levels By Simon Keeling in Wombourne, Staffs 17:00hrs  15/12/2011 Temperature: 3.9C    Weather: Cold Low pressure passing eastwards through the English Channel through tonight, taking some heavy periods of rain with it. The focus is probably through the Midlands and Wales as cold air gets entrained into the system at upper levels. The precipitation will be heavy enough to cause temperatures to fall noticeably and this mean that the snow falling from the cloud stays as snow or sleet. Wales and the southern Midlands are probably most at risk from snow. On hills there could be 5cm but slushy snow can't be ruled out at lower levels. The chart below is the NAE rainfall forecast between midnight and 6am in the morning, and you can see that the model goes for around 7-10mm of rain in these areas. The rainfall model at this distance is usually pretty reliable and so figures will be within this area.We say that 1mm of rain = 1cm of snow, but you have to remember that some will be falling as rain, and so if you take around 1/3 of this you end up nearer a more realistic figure. >> Comments on this story << >> Add your comments below << Your name Email (not shown in posting): Location: Your comment): Security question: What colour is the sky? (the answer is b*l*u*e but remove the *'s)	>> Latest comments on this musing << [Scroll down to add your comment and see what others say] >> More of Simon's Weather Musings << Unseasonal Europe last week - warm east By Simon Keeling in Wombourne, Staffs 09:00 20/05/13 Not so good in the north west Texas tornadoes - six feared dead By Simon Keeling in Wombourne, Staffs 16:45 16/05/2013 Granbury tornado video Dambusters at 70 - Rolling updates By Simon Keeling in Wombourne, Staffs 18:00 16/05/2013 A tribute the Scampton meteorlogists [click here for a full list of Simon's Musings] >> Captain Bob's Dispatches << Seasonal Outlook By Captain Bob in Kingswinford 11:00 19/05/2013 July looks best Month Ahead By Captain Bob in Kingswinford 10:00 19/05/2013 Weather machine games Seasonal Outlook By Captain Bob in Kingswinford 18:00 28/04/2013 Will summer 2013 be over by late July? [click here for a full list of Captain Bob's Dispatches] >> Around the webcams << Latest webcam pics (add yours) >> Learning channel << Summer 2013 - Latest guidance >> Forecast channel videos << Wednesday's Look Ahead Tuesday's Look Ahead Monday's Look Ahead - Still confusion reigns! Sunday's Look Ahead - Hands up! 19/5/13 Saturday's Look Ahead video - Good news?